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Stadium Background

FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tokyo host Urawa Reds in the J1 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: FC Tokyo at 1.85 goals for, 1.04 against; Urawa Reds at 1.69 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, FC Tokyo have won 4 to Urawa Reds's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.19) point toward FC Tokyo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Tokyo
15%
Draws
41%
Urawa Reds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tokyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Tokyo come out ahead of Urawa Reds on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on FC Tokyo taking it.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Tokyo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 20%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tokyo Urawa Reds
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.85 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs FC Tokyo
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 Emperors Cup
FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds
3:2
May 17, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs FC Tokyo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tokyo 49 / 100
Urawa Reds 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tokyo Urawa Reds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tokyo's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

FC Tokyo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Urawa Reds has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Tokyo VS Urawa Reds
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tokyo

(Home)
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Kyoto
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1
FC Tokyo
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Urawa Reds

(Away)
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)