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FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive

USA USA

USL Championship ONEOK Field, Tulsa, OK
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Batista L.
39'
Twumasi K.
45' Event
Batista L.
Assist: Webber J.

AI Match Summary

FC Tulsa in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tulsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Tulsa
28%
Draws
22%
El Paso Locomotive
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Tulsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tulsa lately — more wins on the board than El Paso Locomotive.
  • FC Tulsa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 19%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tulsa El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:4
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
1:1
May 11, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tulsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tulsa 49 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tulsa El Paso Locomotive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Paso Locomotive has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

FC Tulsa's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: El Paso Locomotive has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Tulsa VS El Paso Locomotive
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tulsa

(Home)
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
FC Tulsa
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2
Colorado Springs
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0
Monterey Bay
13 Jun
Charleston
5 : 1
FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 7

El Paso Locomotive

(Away)
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2
New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
14 Jun
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1756620:2621
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Colorado Springs1564526:2222
5FC Tulsa1464418:1622
6Lexington1563624:2021
7Oakland Roots1656524:2421
8Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
9Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
10El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)