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FC Tulsa vs San Antonio FC

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USL Cup ONEOK Field
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tulsa play San Antonio FC in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Tulsa averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1 conceded. San Antonio FC averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, FC Tulsa won 2, San Antonio FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for FC Tulsa and 1.50 for San Antonio FC. This points to a FC Tulsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Tulsa
31%
Draws
33%
San Antonio FC
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: FC Tulsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tulsa picked up more points recently compared to San Antonio FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 16%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tulsa San Antonio FC
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.44
Goals Conceded 1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
FC Tulsa vs San Antonio FC
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 US Open Cup
San Antonio FC vs FC Tulsa
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs San Antonio FC
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tulsa vs San Antonio FC
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs San Antonio FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tulsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Antonio FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldonado M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haakenson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tulsa 36 / 100
San Antonio FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tulsa San Antonio FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Tulsa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Tulsa attacking → ← attacking San Antonio FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tulsa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

San Antonio FC let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

FC Tulsa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 55
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sacramento Republic33007:18
2Spokane Velocity32013:56
3Athletic Club Boise32017:65
4Oakland Roots31023:34
5Monterey Bay31026:73
6Las Vegas Lights30031:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colorado Springs33007:19
2El Paso Locomotive32015:36
3New Mexico32016:56
4AV Alta FC31023:53
5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Antonio FC33004:18
2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
4FC Tulsa31023:44
5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
6Chattanooga Red Wolves30032:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hartford Athletic32016:27
2Brooklyn FC32018:36
3Rhode Island32015:25
4Portland Hearts of Pine31025:94
5New York Cosmos31024:93
6Westchester SC31025:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay33008:19
2Miami FC32016:56
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise31022:43
5FC Naples31023:72