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FC Tulsa vs North Texas

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tulsa play North Texas in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Tulsa averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1 conceded. North Texas averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, FC Tulsa won 2, North Texas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for FC Tulsa and 1.38 for North Texas. This points to a FC Tulsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
FC Tulsa
15%
Draws
37%
North Texas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tulsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tulsa picked up more points recently compared to North Texas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 17%
North Texas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tulsa North Texas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 0
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.76
Goals Conceded 1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tulsa vs North Texas
3:0
Mar 25, 2021 Club Friendly
North Texas vs FC Tulsa
3:0
Feb 25, 2020 Club Friendly
North Texas vs FC Tulsa
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tulsa 47 / 100
North Texas 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tulsa North Texas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Tulsa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Tulsa attacking → ← attacking North Texas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tulsa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

North Texas let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

FC Tulsa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

North Texas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 42
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38