Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Kocevski J.
Assist: Cabral R.
25'
25'
Webber J.
38'
38'
Ian
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between FC Tulsa and Rhode Island finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tulsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tulsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rhode Island come out ahead of FC Tulsa on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FC Tulsa's way, sitting at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 68%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tulsa | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs FC Tulsa
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kocevski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Rhode Island Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tulsa 50 / 100
Rhode Island 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tulsa Rhode Island
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tulsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tulsa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Rhode Island let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
FC Tulsa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Tulsa VS Rhode Island
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tulsa
(Home) 23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
16 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 0 FC Tulsa
09 Aug
FC Tulsa
0 : 1 Detroit City
06 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Sacramento Republic
29 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
FC Tulsa
0 : 1 Detroit City
06 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Sacramento Republic
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 3
Rhode Island
(Away) 22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
08 Aug
Rhode Island
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
25 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 1 Rhode Island
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
13 Jun
Loudoun United
1 : 4 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 38:20 | 45 |
| 2 | Charleston | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 46:27 | 39 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 27:17 | 36 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 25:23 | 34 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37:36 | 32 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30:23 | 28 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 18:20 | 27 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:39 | 22 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 22:34 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | 17 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:36 | 16 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 27:58 | 11 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 37 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26:19 | 35 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 33:31 | 35 |
| 5 | San Antonio FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:19 | 32 |
| 7 | Lexington | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:26 | 31 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:32 | 31 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 28:31 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24:41 | 17 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
