Sport Picks
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship ONEOK Field, Tulsa, OK 
Match Events
8'
8'
Kocevski J.
Assist: Cabral R.
25'
25'
Webber J.
38'
38'
Ian
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between FC Tulsa and Rhode Island finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tulsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rhode Island come out ahead of FC Tulsa on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 68%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Tulsa | Rhode Island |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs FC Tulsa
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kocevski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Rhode Island Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Tulsa 41 / 100
Rhode Island 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Tulsa Rhode Island
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tulsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Tulsa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
FC Tulsa scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Rhode Island conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
FC Tulsa VS Rhode Island
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Tulsa
(Home) 09 Oct
Lexington
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
09 Aug
FC Tulsa
0 : 1 Detroit City
06 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 3
Rhode Island
(Away) 10 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Rhode Island
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3 Rhode Island
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Rhode Island
03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3 Rhode Island
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53:34 | 47 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 31:29 | 40 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | 26 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 32:74 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
