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FC Tulsa vs Union Omaha

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Tulsa play Union Omaha in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Tulsa averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1 conceded. Union Omaha averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, FC Tulsa won 1, Union Omaha won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for FC Tulsa and 1.38 for Union Omaha. This points to a Union Omaha double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Tulsa
21%
Draws
40%
Union Omaha
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tulsa picked up more points recently compared to Union Omaha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 17%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tulsa Union Omaha
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Tulsa vs Union Omaha
2:0
Feb 27, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Tulsa vs Union Omaha
4:4
Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Tulsa vs Union Omaha
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tulsa 39 / 100
Union Omaha 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tulsa Union Omaha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Omaha or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Tulsa attacking → ← attacking Union Omaha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tulsa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Union Omaha let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FC Tulsa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Union Omaha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 54
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75