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FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between FC Tzeirey Tamra and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Tzeirey Tamra
35%
Draws
35%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC Tzeirey Tamra have managed 1.33 goals a game lately — Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are scoring more at 1.53.
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Tzeirey Tamra Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Matches Played 21 19
Wins 6 6
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Alef North
FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:2
Jan 30, 2026 Liga Alef North
FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2:4
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs FC Tzeirey Tamra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tzeirey Tamra 12 / 100
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tzeirey Tamra scored in 86% of their last 21 games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 19 matches.

FC Tzeirey Tamra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Tzeirey Tamra VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Tzeirey Tamra

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3
FC Tzeirey Tamra
23 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 0
Beit Shean
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 5

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Away)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)