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FC Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Batmunkh E.
90' Event
Serra L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Ulaanbaatar
15%
Draws
54%
Central Stallions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central Stallions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Ulaanbaatar lately — more wins on the board than Central Stallions.
  • Model gives Central Stallions a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 10%
Central Stallions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Central Stallions
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 3.46 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions
2:3
Jun 21, 2026 Premier League
Central Stallions vs FC Ulaanbaatar
0:3
Jun 17, 2026 Premier League
Central Stallions vs FC Ulaanbaatar
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions
1:1
Jul 9, 2025 Premier League
Central Stallions vs FC Ulaanbaatar
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Batmunkh E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Central Stallions Compare

Top Goalscorer Serra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 18 / 100
Central Stallions 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Central Stallions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Stallions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Ulaanbaatar scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Central Stallions let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Ulaanbaatar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS Central Stallions
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
11 Aug
FC Ulaanbaatar
1 : 2
Hang Yuen
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
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Central Stallions

(Away)
26 Sept
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
21 Sept
Khovd
0 : 6
Central Stallions
17 Sept
Central Stallions
3 : 0
Hunters
12 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 2
Central Stallions
11 Aug
Central Stallions
2 : 3
Taiwan Steel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)