Sport Picks
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Deren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mongolia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
FC Ulaanbaatar host Deren in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Deren have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while FC Ulaanbaatar have conceded 0.81 and scored 3.81. Past meetings favor FC Ulaanbaatar slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.69 - 2.06) back FC Ulaanbaatar to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to FC Ulaanbaatar lately — more wins on the board than Deren.
- FC Ulaanbaatar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Ulaanbaatar | Deren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 25 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 3.81 | 3.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Ulaanbaatar scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.
FC Ulaanbaatar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Deren conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Ulaanbaatar
(Home)Deren
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Ulaanbaatar | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 39:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Hunters | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 31:17 | 15 |
| 5 | Khovd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24:21 | 10 |
| 6 | Khaan Khuns-Erchim | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:29 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16:37 | 6 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:36 | 6 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6:30 | 0 |
