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FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Suzuki A.
48' Event
Mijiddorj O.
53' Event
Bilguun T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between FC Ulaanbaatar and Khangarid finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ulaanbaatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Ulaanbaatar
20%
Draws
10%
Khangarid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Khangarid haven't matched FC Ulaanbaatar's recent run of results.
  • FC Ulaanbaatar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Ulaanbaatar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 15%
Khangarid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Khangarid
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 3.45 3
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
3:4
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
3:1
May 17, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
3:1
Oct 14, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs FC Ulaanbaatar
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mijiddorj O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Khangarid Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilguun T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 84 / 100
Khangarid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Khangarid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ulaanbaatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ulaanbaatar's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Khangarid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: FC Ulaanbaatar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS Khangarid
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
11 Aug
FC Ulaanbaatar
1 : 2
Hang Yuen
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
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Khangarid

(Away)
06 Jul
Khangarid
0 : 1
Central Stallions
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
30 Jun
Deren
2 : 1
Khangarid
27 Jun
Central Stallions
2 : 2
Khangarid
24 Jun
FC Ulaanbaatar
3 : 1
Khangarid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)