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FC Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mendjargal J.
40' Event
Mendjargal J.
41' Event
Villegas M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Ulaanbaatar and Ulaangom City FC finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ulaanbaatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Ulaanbaatar
15%
Draws
0%
Ulaangom City FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulaangom City FC haven't matched FC Ulaanbaatar's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FC Ulaanbaatar taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors FC Ulaanbaatar here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 15%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Ulaangom City FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 23 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 23
Goals Scored 3.77 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.83 5.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City FC
8:0
May 10, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City FC
7:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City FC
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendjargal J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Temuulen U.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.93
Avg xA / game 1.91

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 84 / 100
Ulaangom City FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Ulaangom City FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ulaanbaatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Ulaanbaatar scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Ulaangom City FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Ulaanbaatar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS Ulaangom City FC
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
05 Oct
FC Ulaanbaatar
8 : 0
Ulaangom City FC
30 Sept
Khovd
0 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
27 Sept
FC Ulaanbaatar
5 : 3
Hunters
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
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Ulaangom City FC

(Away)
05 Oct
FC Ulaanbaatar
8 : 0
Ulaangom City FC
30 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
2 : 4
Hunters
26 Sept
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
16 Sept
Khovd Western
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Stallions 6 6 0 0 27:6 18
2 Deren 6 4 2 0 20:7 14
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 5 4 1 0 26:3 13
4 Khovd 6 3 1 2 23:15 10
5 Hunters 6 3 0 3 20:15 9
6 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
7 Khovd Western 6 1 0 5 13:27 3
8 Amtat FC 6 1 0 5 5:31 3
9 Ulaangom City FC 6 0 0 6 4:26 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)