Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City FC

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Farfan C.
24' Event
Baasanjav T.
38' Event
Altansukh T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Ulaanbaatar and Ulaangom City FC finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ulaanbaatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Ulaanbaatar
6%
Draws
4%
Ulaangom City FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ulaanbaatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulaangom City FC haven't matched FC Ulaanbaatar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Ulaanbaatar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Ulaanbaatar Clean Sheet 16%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ulaanbaatar Ulaangom City FC
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 22 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 3.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City FC
7:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City FC
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ulaanbaatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Altansukh T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lkhagvasuren M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Farfan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ulaanbaatar 84 / 100
Ulaangom City FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ulaanbaatar Ulaangom City FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ulaanbaatar found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Ulaangom City FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Ulaanbaatar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ulaanbaatar VS Ulaangom City FC
3.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ulaanbaatar

(Home)
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
30 Jun
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Central Stallions
27 Jun
Deren
0 : 2
FC Ulaanbaatar
24 Jun
FC Ulaanbaatar
3 : 1
Khangarid
Page 1 of 6

Ulaangom City FC

(Away)
04 Jul
Ulaangom City FC
1 : 11
Hunters
01 Jul
Khovd Western
2 : 3
Ulaangom City FC
28 Jun
Ulaangom City FC
3 : 3
Khovd
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)