Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC UTA Arad vs FC Buzau

Romania Romania

Superliga 2024/2025 Arena Francisc Neuman
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC UTA Arad play FC Buzau in the Superliga 2024/2025. FC UTA Arad are favorites here. Recently, FC UTA Arad averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. FC Buzau averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, FC UTA Arad won 3, FC Buzau won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for FC UTA Arad and 1.44 for FC Buzau. This points to a FC UTA Arad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FC UTA Arad
23%
Draws
20%
FC Buzau
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: FC UTA Arad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • FC UTA Arad picked up more points recently compared to FC Buzau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
FC UTA Arad Clean Sheet 16%
FC Buzau Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC UTA Arad FC Buzau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.57 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs FC Buzau
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 Superliga
FC Buzau vs FC UTA Arad
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs FC Buzau
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 Romanian Cup
FC Buzau vs FC UTA Arad
1:2
Jun 4, 2023 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs FC Buzau
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC UTA Arad 55 / 100
FC Buzau 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC UTA Arad FC Buzau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC UTA Arad Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC UTA Arad & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC UTA Arad attacking → ← attacking FC Buzau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC UTA Arad scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FC Buzau let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FC UTA Arad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Buzau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 23
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
7FC Hermannstadt943212:836
8Otelul961213:535
9Petrolul932410:1031
10FC UTA Arad94239:1131
11Farul Constanta934212:931
12FC Botosani941411:1229
13Poli Iasi93339:528
14Unirea Slobozia935111:827
15Sepsi91267:1626
16FC Buzau92164:1417