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FC UTA Arad vs FCMU Baia Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 2/Serie 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC UTA Arad play FCMU Baia Mare in the Liga 2/Serie 2 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC UTA Arad averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. FCMU Baia Mare averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, FC UTA Arad won 0, FCMU Baia Mare won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2013 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for FC UTA Arad and 1.44 for FCMU Baia Mare. This points to a FC UTA Arad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FC UTA Arad
26%
Draws
28%
FCMU Baia Mare
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: FC UTA Arad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • FC UTA Arad picked up more points recently compared to FCMU Baia Mare.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
FC UTA Arad Clean Sheet 16%
FCMU Baia Mare Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC UTA Arad FCMU Baia Mare
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.55 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2013 Liga 2/Serie 2
FC UTA Arad vs FCMU Baia Mare
0:0
Nov 17, 2012 Liga 2/Serie 2
FCMU Baia Mare vs FC UTA Arad
2:1
May 11, 2012 Liga 2/Serie 2
FC UTA Arad vs FCMU Baia Mare
0:1
Oct 30, 2011 Liga 2/Serie 2
FCMU Baia Mare vs FC UTA Arad
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC UTA Arad 45 / 100
FCMU Baia Mare 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC UTA Arad FCMU Baia Mare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC UTA Arad or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC UTA Arad attacking → ← attacking FCMU Baia Mare

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC UTA Arad scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

FCMU Baia Mare let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

FC UTA Arad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FCMU Baia Mare lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 26
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corona Brasov24146441:2248
2Poli Timisoara24129339:1945
3Sportul Snagov24135638:2244
4FC UTA Arad24117629:1740
5Targu Mures24105931:2935
6Ramnicu Valcea241041027:2834
7FC Bihor2489735:3133
8Mioveni24711627:2332
9Campionii Arges24941134:4031
10Luceafarul Oradea24681025:3226
11Olt Slatina244101027:2922
12FCMU Baia Mare24581121:3621
13Unirea Alba-Iulia24321912:5811
14Timisoara00000:00
15LSS Vointa Sibiu00000:00