Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Vilafranca vs Gramenet Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 game between FC Vilafranca and Gramenet finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gramenet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Vilafranca
15%
Draws
51%
Gramenet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gramenet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Vilafranca come out ahead of Gramenet on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Vilafranca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 15%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Vilafranca Gramenet
Matches Played 43 31
Wins 14 4
Draws 13 5
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.19 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Gramenet
3:1
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs FC Vilafranca
1:3
May 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Gramenet
1:2
Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs FC Vilafranca
1:1
Apr 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs FC Vilafranca
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Vilafranca 66 / 100
Gramenet 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Vilafranca Gramenet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Vilafranca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gramenet conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

FC Vilafranca scored in 65% of their last 43 games.

Difficult form: Gramenet registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Vilafranca VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Vilafranca

(Home)
28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1
Prat
11 May
Prat
3 : 0
FC Vilafranca
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2
Olot
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2
FC Vilafranca
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 9

Gramenet

(Away)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 7 7 66:29 79
2 Cornella 38 23 10 5 70:35 79
3 CE Europa 38 21 12 5 55:25 75
4 Manlleu AEC 38 17 14 7 46:29 65
5 UE Figueres 38 16 11 11 52:45 59
6 Terrassa 38 15 12 11 47:36 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 49:50 52
8 UE Rapitenca 38 12 16 10 46:39 52
9 Gramenet 38 10 19 9 34:33 49
10 Gava 38 13 9 16 38:42 48
11 UE Rubi 38 11 14 13 58:52 47
12 Palamos CF 38 11 13 14 48:55 46
13 UE Castelldefels 38 11 12 15 31:45 45
14 Vilassar de Mar 38 11 11 16 44:47 44
15 Santboia 38 9 15 14 41:47 42
16 FC Vilafranca 38 11 9 18 35:53 42
17 Montanesa 38 8 16 14 32:49 40
18 Jupiter 38 9 10 19 41:59 37
19 UE Vic 38 8 12 18 40:61 36
20 Balaguer 38 4 12 22 35:77 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)