Sport Picks
FC Vilafranca vs Olot Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 
Match Events
47'
47'
Frutos A.
76'
76'
Barnils R.
89'
89'
Mas M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between FC Vilafranca and Olot finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olot.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olot carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Olot taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Olot have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 22%
Olot Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Vilafranca | Olot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Olot
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs FC Vilafranca
3:2
Jan 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs FC Vilafranca
5:1
Sep 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Vilafranca vs Olot
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs FC Vilafranca
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Vilafranca Compare
Top Goalscorer Frutos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Olot Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnils R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Vilafranca 24 / 100
Olot 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Vilafranca Olot
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
FC Vilafranca scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Olot let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
FC Vilafranca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Olot
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Vilafranca
(Home) 28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1 Prat
11 May
Prat
3 : 0 FC Vilafranca
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2 Olot
01 May
Mollerussa
2 : 2 FC Vilafranca
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2 L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
FC Vilafranca
2 : 1 Prat
05 May
FC Vilafranca
1 : 2 Olot
27 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 2 L Hospitalet
14 Apr
FC Vilafranca
0 : 0 CF Badalona
29 Mar
FC Vilafranca
0 : 0 FE Grama
Page 1 of 4
Olot
(Away) 27 Sept
SD Logrones
0 : 2 Olot
19 Sept
Olot
1 : 2 Utebo FC
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2 Olot
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2 Ebro
15 Aug
Olot
0 : 0 Sant Andreu
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
SD Logrones
0 : 2 Olot
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2 Olot
26 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0 Olot
12 Apr
Castellon B
1 : 1 Olot
29 Mar
Baleares
1 : 0 Olot
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olot | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 55:20 | 79 |
| 2 | L Hospitalet | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 56:28 | 69 |
| 3 | Vilassar de Mar | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41:27 | 60 |
| 4 | CF Badalona | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Prat | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 39:30 | 51 |
| 6 | UE Tona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48:45 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Lescala | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 57:59 | 48 |
| 8 | Reus FC Reddis | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 31:28 | 46 |
| 9 | Montanesa | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | 46 |
| 10 | FE Grama | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 41:47 | 45 |
| 11 | Girona B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:40 | 44 |
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | 43 |
| 13 | San Cristobal CP | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 35:54 | 43 |
| 14 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Pobla Mafumet | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | FC Vilafranca | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 31:53 | 33 |
| 17 | UE Castelldefels | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:47 | 30 |
| 18 | UE Rapitenca | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 36:51 | 30 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
