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FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos Prediction & H2H Stats

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Villa Clara and FC Cienfuegos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cienfuegos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC Villa Clara
20%
Draws
35%
FC Cienfuegos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Villa Clara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Cienfuegos come out ahead of FC Villa Clara on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Villa Clara FC Cienfuegos
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:1
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Villa Clara 31 / 100
FC Cienfuegos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Villa Clara FC Cienfuegos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Villa Clara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: FC Villa Clara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC Villa Clara's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Cienfuegos let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Villa Clara VS FC Cienfuegos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Villa Clara

(Home)
09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1
Artemisa
05 Jul
Artemisa
2 : 3
FC Villa Clara
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 6

FC Cienfuegos

(Away)
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)