Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional game between FC Villa Clara and FC Cienfuegos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cienfuegos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Cienfuegos come out ahead of FC Villa Clara on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Villa Clara | FC Cienfuegos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:1
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Villa Clara 31 / 100
FC Cienfuegos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Villa Clara FC Cienfuegos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: FC Villa Clara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
FC Villa Clara's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
FC Cienfuegos let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Villa Clara VS FC Cienfuegos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Villa Clara
(Home) 09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1 Artemisa
05 Jul
Artemisa
2 : 3 FC Villa Clara
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1 FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0 Matanzas
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1 Artemisa
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0 Matanzas
03 May
FC Villa Clara
2 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
12 Apr
FC Villa Clara
4 : 1 Mayabeque Guines
Page 1 of 3
FC Cienfuegos
(Away) 14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1 FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3 FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2 Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0 Matanzas
Page 1 of 7
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3 FC Cienfuegos
03 May
FC Villa Clara
2 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
12 Apr
Matanzas
0 : 0 FC Cienfuegos
29 Mar
Mayabeque Guines
2 : 0 FC Cienfuegos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)