Sport Picks

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FC Villa Clara vs FC La Habana

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC La Habana in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC La Habana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Villa Clara
39%
Draws
31%
FC La Habana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC La Habana have won more games recently than FC Villa Clara.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC La Habana have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 20%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Villa Clara FC La Habana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC La Habana
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC La Habana
1:8
Oct 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs FC Villa Clara
4:0
Apr 23, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs FC Villa Clara
2:1
Mar 5, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC La Habana
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Villa Clara 31 / 100
FC La Habana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Villa Clara FC La Habana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

FC Villa Clara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Villa Clara scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

FC La Habana has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Villa Clara VS FC La Habana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Villa Clara

(Home)
09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1
Artemisa
05 Jul
Artemisa
2 : 3
FC Villa Clara
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
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FC La Habana

(Away)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
28 May
FC La Habana
5 : 2
Artemisa
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)