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FC Volendam vs Ajax

World World

Club Friendly Kras Stadion, Volendam
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gaaei A.
Assist: Carrizo M.
35' Event
Marcos Leonardo
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Jurjus H. In: Steur R.
Out: Jurjus H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between FC Volendam and Ajax finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Volendam
15%
Draws
49%
Ajax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ajax a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam Ajax
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.59 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Volendam vs Ajax
1:3
Mar 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs FC Volendam
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 Eredivisie
Ajax vs FC Volendam
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Ajax
1:1
May 5, 2024 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Ajax
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Volendam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaaei A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arokodare T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 26 / 100
Ajax 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FC Volendam scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ajax has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: FC Volendam remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS Ajax
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
28 Aug
FC Volendam
6 : 1
Dordrecht
21 Aug
Maastricht
1 : 0
FC Volendam
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0
TOP Oss
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Ajax

(Away)
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
27 Aug
Ajax
5 : 3
Sion
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