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FC Volendam vs De Graafschap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Kras Stadion, Volendam
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Volendam host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Volendam have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against De Graafschap's 1.78 scored and 2.33 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Volendam have won 3 to De Graafschap's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 22, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.50, favoring FC Volendam. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Volendam
20%
Draws
40%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Volendam have managed 1.64 goals a game lately — De Graafschap are scoring more at 1.78.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 16%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam De Graafschap
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs FC Volendam
4:3
Apr 8, 2022 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
3:1
Sep 10, 2021 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs FC Volendam
0:3
Jan 24, 2021 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 30 / 100
De Graafschap 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Volendam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Volendam scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

De Graafschap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

FC Volendam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS De Graafschap
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Volendam
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
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De Graafschap

(Away)
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1
De Graafschap
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 11 9 1 1 36:13 28
2 Almere City 11 7 1 3 23:9 22
3 Venlo 11 7 1 3 30:18 22
4 FC Emmen 11 7 1 3 24:19 22
5 NAC Breda 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Roda 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
7 Vitesse 11 5 2 4 16:15 17
8 FC Volendam 11 5 1 5 23:18 16
9 Maastricht 11 5 1 5 14:25 16
10 Waalwijk 11 3 6 2 20:16 15
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 11 4 2 5 26:22 14
12 Den Bosch 11 4 2 5 16:19 14
13 Jong PSV 11 3 4 4 15:18 13
14 TOP Oss 11 4 0 7 16:17 12
15 Eindhoven FC 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
16 Jong Ajax 11 3 2 6 15:26 11
17 De Graafschap 11 3 2 6 14:25 11
18 Dordrecht 11 3 2 6 14:27 11
19 Helmond Sport 11 2 3 6 16:21 9
20 Jong Utrecht 11 2 1 8 17:25 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)