Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Volendam vs Dordrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Kras Stadion, Volendam
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Volendam host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: FC Volendam at 1.32 goals for, 1.64 against; Dordrecht at 1.5 for, 1.73 against. Past meetings favor FC Volendam slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2025, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.13, favoring Dordrecht. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Volendam
30%
Draws
47%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dordrecht lately — more wins on the board than FC Volendam.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam Dordrecht
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs FC Volendam
4:1
Sep 17, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Dordrecht
2:0
Apr 29, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs FC Volendam
3:2
Oct 29, 2021 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Dordrecht
4:2
Jan 15, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs FC Volendam
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 34 / 100
Dordrecht 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dordrecht Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dordrecht conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FC Volendam found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: FC Volendam stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS Dordrecht
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
10 Aug
Jong PSV
3 : 2
FC Volendam
02 Aug
FC Volendam
1 : 3
Ajax
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2
FC Volendam
15 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1
FC Volendam
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Dordrecht

(Away)
14 Aug
Waalwijk
2 : 2
Dordrecht
07 Aug
Dordrecht
2 : 1
Jong Ajax
01 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Anderlecht U23
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 2 2 0 0 7:5 6
2 Maastricht 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
3 Almere City 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Dordrecht 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Venlo 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
7 Eindhoven FC 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Roda 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Jong PSV 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
10 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Waalwijk 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 De Graafschap 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Den Bosch 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 Helmond Sport 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 FC Volendam 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17 TOP Oss 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Jong Utrecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Jong AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)