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FC Volendam vs Jong Ajax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Kras Stadion, Volendam
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Volendam host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FC Volendam at 1.93 goals for, 1.79 against; Jong Ajax at 1.37 for, 2.03 against. Head-to-head, FC Volendam have won 3 to Jong Ajax's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.44, favoring FC Volendam. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Volendam
30%
Draws
37%
Jong Ajax
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jong Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • FC Volendam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam Jong Ajax
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam
0:2
Nov 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Jong Ajax
3:0
Aug 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam
3:1
Apr 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Jong Ajax
3:1
Nov 19, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs FC Volendam
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 30 / 100
Jong Ajax 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam Jong Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Volendam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Volendam scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Jong Ajax has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

FC Volendam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS Jong Ajax
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
06 Nov
Helmond Sport
2 : 3
FC Volendam
30 Oct
FC Volendam
1 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Oct
Eindhoven FC
5 : 3
FC Volendam
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2
Jong Utrecht
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6

Jong Ajax

(Away)
06 Nov
Eindhoven FC
0 : 3
Jong Ajax
02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1
Vitesse
23 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 3
Jong Ajax
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1
De Graafschap
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3
Venlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)