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FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Kras Stadion, Volendam
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Volendam host Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Jong Utrecht have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while FC Volendam have conceded 1.73 and scored 1.6. Past meetings favor FC Volendam slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2025, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.88) point toward FC Volendam. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
FC Volendam
15%
Draws
37%
Jong Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Volendam lately — more wins on the board than Jong Utrecht.
  • Win probability leans FC Volendam's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Volendam have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam Jong Utrecht
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam
2:3
Nov 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht
2:0
Feb 4, 2022 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht
2:0
Nov 22, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam
0:1
Apr 16, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs FC Volendam
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 34 / 100
Jong Utrecht 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam Jong Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Utrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Volendam scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Volendam remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS Jong Utrecht
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Jong Utrecht

(Away)
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)