Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Volendam vs TOP Oss

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Kras Stadion, Volendam
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Bynoe J.
21' Event
Bukala N.
26'
van der Venne R.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between FC Volendam and TOP Oss finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Volendam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FC Volendam
15%
Draws
36%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Volendam have managed 1.28 goals a game lately — TOP Oss are scoring more at 1.55.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on FC Volendam taking it.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Volendam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 12%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam TOP Oss
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs TOP Oss
3:0
Mar 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs FC Volendam
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs TOP Oss
4:0
Apr 1, 2022 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs TOP Oss
1:2
Sep 24, 2021 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs FC Volendam
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Plat A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bukala N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

TOP Oss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 83 / 100
TOP Oss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Volendam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TOP Oss conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

FC Volendam's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: TOP Oss registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS TOP Oss
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
2 Goals Conceded 2.71
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
10 Aug
Jong PSV
3 : 2
FC Volendam
02 Aug
FC Volendam
1 : 3
Ajax
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2
FC Volendam
15 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6

TOP Oss

(Away)
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
25 Jul
Almere City
8 : 4
TOP Oss
18 Jul
TOP Oss
3 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
12 Jul
TOP Oss
0 : 1
Duisburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 2 2 0 0 7:5 6
2 Maastricht 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
3 Almere City 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Dordrecht 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Venlo 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
7 Eindhoven FC 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Roda 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Jong PSV 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
10 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Waalwijk 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 De Graafschap 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Den Bosch 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 Helmond Sport 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 FC Volendam 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17 TOP Oss 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Jong Utrecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Jong AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)