Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Volendam vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Kras Stadion, Volendam
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Volendam host Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: FC Volendam at 1.66 goals for, 1.79 against; Vitesse at 1.61 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor FC Volendam slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2025, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.88, favoring Vitesse. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Volendam
15%
Draws
42%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Volendam haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam Vitesse
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Vitesse
4:0
Oct 4, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs FC Volendam
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 Eredivisie
Vitesse vs FC Volendam
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Vitesse
1:2
Feb 18, 2023 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Vitesse
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 30 / 100
Vitesse 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Volendam found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vitesse conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Volendam stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS Vitesse
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
28 Aug
FC Volendam
6 : 1
Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6

Vitesse

(Away)
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 8 7 0 1 26:10 21
2 Almere City 8 5 1 2 18:7 16
3 Maastricht 8 5 1 2 12:15 16
4 Venlo 8 5 0 3 21:14 15
5 Roda 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
6 FC Emmen 8 5 0 3 18:17 15
7 Waalwijk 8 3 4 1 18:11 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 13:11 13
9 NAC Breda 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 8 4 0 4 20:16 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
14 Helmond Sport 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
15 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
16 Den Bosch 8 2 1 5 12:17 7
17 Dordrecht 8 2 1 5 12:23 7
18 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 9:20 7
19 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
20 TOP Oss 8 2 0 6 8:13 6
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)