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FC Volendam vs Willem II Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Kras Stadion, Volendam
Sat, May 23, 2026
1 - 3
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Baartmans S.
17' Event
Stam F.
20'
Sub
Yah G. In: Kwakman D.
Out: Yah G.

AI Match Summary

Willem II in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
FC Volendam
20%
Draws
15%
Willem II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • FC Volendam haven't matched Willem II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Volendam a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Willem II arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Willem II, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Willem II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 17%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volendam Willem II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Willem II
1:3
May 20, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs FC Volendam
1:2
Sep 25, 2018 KNVB Beker
FC Volendam vs Willem II
1:2
Dec 13, 2013 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Willem II
0:2
Aug 30, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs FC Volendam
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Leliendal Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Baartmans S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stam F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volendam 84 / 100
Willem II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volendam Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Volendam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Volendam's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Willem II conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Volendam remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Volendam VS Willem II
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volendam

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
28 Aug
FC Volendam
6 : 1
Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6

Willem II

(Away)
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roda 2
Waalwijk 3
TBD -
Willem II -
Den Bosch 2
Almere City 6
TBD -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk 1
Willem II 2
Almere City 5
De Graafschap 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Semi-finals
Willem II 3
Almere City 0
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Final
Willem II 4
FC Volendam 3