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FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs Sibir Novosibirsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Tsentralnyi Stadion, Astrakhan
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Volgar-Astrakhan host Sibir Novosibirsk in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. Sibir Novosibirsk go into this one as the clear favorite. Sibir Novosibirsk have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while FC Volgar-Astrakhan have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor FC Volgar-Astrakhan slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sibir Novosibirsk. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
35%
Draws
46%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sibir Novosibirsk lately — more wins on the board than FC Volgar-Astrakhan.
  • Win probability leans Sibir Novosibirsk's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Volgar-Astrakhan Clean Sheet 20%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Volgar-Astrakhan Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs FC Volgar-Astrakhan
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs FC Volgar-Astrakhan
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
FC Volgar-Astrakhan vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 24 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Volgar-Astrakhan Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FC Volgar-Astrakhan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FC Volgar-Astrakhan found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Volgar-Astrakhan VS Sibir Novosibirsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Volgar-Astrakhan

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
13 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Saratov
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
Ulyanovsk
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Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)