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FC Wegberg-Beeck vs Merten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Wegberg-Beeck host Merten in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. FC Wegberg-Beeck are expected to control this from the start. Merten have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while FC Wegberg-Beeck have conceded 0.94 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor FC Wegberg-Beeck slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward FC Wegberg-Beeck. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Wegberg-Beeck
15%
Draws
34%
Merten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Wegberg-Beeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Wegberg-Beeck come out ahead of Merten on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Wegberg-Beeck Clean Sheet 20%
Merten Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Wegberg-Beeck Merten
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.13 2.97
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Wegberg-Beeck vs Merten
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
4:1
Dec 8, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Wegberg-Beeck vs Merten
3:0
May 26, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Wegberg-Beeck 31 / 100
Merten 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Wegberg-Beeck Merten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Wegberg-Beeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Wegberg-Beeck remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Wegberg-Beeck scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Merten conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Wegberg-Beeck VS Merten
2.5 Goals Scored 3.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Wegberg-Beeck

(Home)
04 Oct
SpVg Porz 1919
0 : 1
FC Wegberg-Beeck
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
11 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
7 : 1
Konigsdorf
06 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
Page 1 of 7

Merten

(Away)
04 Oct
Merten
6 : 1
Eintracht Hohkeppel
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Wegberg-Beeck 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 6 4 1 1 18:9 13
3 Fortuna Koln II 5 4 0 1 13:7 12
4 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
5 Merten 6 3 1 2 19:10 10
6 Chlodwig Zulpich 6 3 1 2 16:17 10
7 FC Hurth 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
8 VfL Vichttal 6 2 2 2 16:11 8
9 Frechen 6 2 2 2 12:12 8
10 1. FC Duren 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
11 Hennef 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Bornheim 6 2 0 4 11:16 6
13 SpVg Porz 1919 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Siegburger 6 1 2 3 9:14 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
16 Konigsdorf 5 0 0 5 6:27 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)