Sport Picks

Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2007/2008

Merani Martvili

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Zestaponi 2 play Merani Martvili in the Pirveli Liga 2007/2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Zestaponi 2 averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Merani Martvili averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, FC Zestaponi 2 won 1, Merani Martvili won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2009 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for FC Zestaponi 2 and 1.18 for Merani Martvili. This points to a Merani Martvili double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

FC Zestaponi 2

19%

Draws

54%

Merani Martvili

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Merani Martvili

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

FC Zestaponi 2 picked up more points recently compared to Merani Martvili.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

FC Zestaponi 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Zestaponi 2	Merani Martvili
Matches Played	33	36
Wins	8	15
Draws	6	13
Losses	19	8
Goals Scored	0.88	1.19
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Merani Martvili vs FC Zestaponi 2

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Nov 17, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

FC Zestaponi 2 vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Sep 13, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Merani Martvili vs FC Zestaponi 2

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

3:0

Mar 31, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

FC Zestaponi 2 vs Merani Martvili

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Oct 29, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Merani Martvili vs FC Zestaponi 2

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Zestaponi 2 28 / 100

Merani Martvili 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Zestaponi 2 Merani Martvili

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Martvili Win (2)

Secondary Pick Merani Martvili & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Zestaponi 2 attacking → ← attacking Merani Martvili

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Zestaponi 2 scored in 52% of their last 33 games.

Merani Martvili let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

FC Zestaponi 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Merani Martvili lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 58

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gagra	27	16	6	5	59:36	54
2	Dinamo Tbilisi 2	27	14	7	6	41:24	49
3	WIT Georgia 2	27	14	6	7	41:21	48
4	Meshakre	27	13	9	5	34:22	48
5	Chikhura Sachkhere	27	12	7	8	40:37	43
6	FC Tbilisi	27	9	8	10	35:41	35
7	Kakheti Telavi	27	10	4	13	38:41	34
8	Ameri Tbilisi II	27	9	2	16	42:44	29
9	FC Olimpiki Tbilisi	27	7	4	16	38:52	25
10	Norchi Dinamo Tbilisi	27	1	7	19	20:70	10

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chiatura	27	21	4	2	56:17	67
2	Merani Martvili	27	13	5	9	36:25	44
3	Meshakhte Tkibuli	27	14	2	11	39:41	44
4	FC Zestaponi 2	27	12	4	11	39:28	40
5	Kolkheti 1913	27	11	7	9	36:33	40
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	11	6	10	37:31	39
7	Khobi	27	10	8	9	35:27	38
8	Samtredia	27	9	5	13	35:50	32
9	Universiteti Kutaisi	27	9	3	15	24:29	30
10	Racha Ambrolauri	27	2	2	23	17:73	8