Sport Picks

Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022

Shevardeni Tbilisi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 encounter between FC Zugdidi and Shevardeni Tbilisi promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. FC Zugdidi averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Shevardeni Tbilisi shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for FC Zugdidi, 2 wins for Shevardeni Tbilisi, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.10.22 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for FC Zugdidi and 1.05 for Shevardeni Tbilisi, suggesting the primary value lies in the FC Zugdidi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

FC Zugdidi

33%

Draws

32%

Shevardeni Tbilisi

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Zugdidi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

FC Zugdidi picked up more points recently compared to Shevardeni Tbilisi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

FC Zugdidi Clean Sheet 22%

Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Zugdidi	Shevardeni Tbilisi
Matches Played	7	7
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	1
Losses	3	4
Goals Scored	1.86	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

22.10.22 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

FC Zugdidi vs Shevardeni Tbilisi

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

29.08.22 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Shevardeni Tbilisi vs FC Zugdidi

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

16.05.22 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

FC Zugdidi vs Shevardeni Tbilisi

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

25.03.22 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Shevardeni Tbilisi vs FC Zugdidi

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

03.10.21 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Shevardeni Tbilisi vs FC Zugdidi

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

FC Zugdidi

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Shevardeni Tbilisi

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Zugdidi 36 / 100

Shevardeni Tbilisi 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Zugdidi Shevardeni Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Zugdidi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

FC Zugdidi 39%

Shevardeni Tbilisi 26%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

FC Zugdidi 33%

Shevardeni Tbilisi 34%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

FC Zugdidi 35%

Shevardeni Tbilisi 32%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

FC Zugdidi 37%

Shevardeni Tbilisi 30%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

FC Zugdidi 32%

Shevardeni Tbilisi 35%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

FC Zugdidi 40%

Shevardeni Tbilisi 37%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Zugdidi attacking → ← attacking Shevardeni Tbilisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Zugdidi have found the net in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Shevardeni Tbilisi have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 7 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.20 goals per match.

FC Zugdidi remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Shevardeni Tbilisi suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 7

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shukura	28	19	3	6	52:23	60
2	Spaeri	28	15	6	7	57:35	51
3	Samtredia	28	14	6	8	43:28	48
4	Merani Martvili	28	12	6	10	55:53	42
5	FC Gareji Sagarejo	28	10	6	12	38:36	36
6	Merani Tbilisi	28	10	4	14	34:56	34
7	FC Rustavi	28	6	5	17	34:54	23
8	WIT Georgia	28	5	6	17	30:58	21
9	FC Zugdidi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Shevardeni Tbilisi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0