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FCM Targoviste vs Conpet Ploiesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FCM Targoviste play Conpet Ploiesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 6 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, FCM Targoviste averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Conpet Ploiesti averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, FCM Targoviste won 2, Conpet Ploiesti won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for FCM Targoviste and 2.13 for Conpet Ploiesti. This points to a FCM Targoviste double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FCM Targoviste
23%
Draws
38%
Conpet Ploiesti
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: FCM Targoviste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • FCM Targoviste picked up more points recently compared to Conpet Ploiesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
FCM Targoviste Clean Sheet 10%
Conpet Ploiesti Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Targoviste Conpet Ploiesti
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 6
FCM Targoviste vs Conpet Ploiesti
3:0
Apr 25, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Conpet Ploiesti vs FCM Targoviste
2:1
Nov 22, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 6
FCM Targoviste vs Conpet Ploiesti
2:0
Sep 13, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Conpet Ploiesti vs FCM Targoviste
1:1
Apr 26, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 6
FCM Targoviste vs Conpet Ploiesti
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Targoviste 37 / 100
Conpet Ploiesti 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Targoviste Conpet Ploiesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FCM Targoviste or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FCM Targoviste attacking → ← attacking Conpet Ploiesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Targoviste scored in 76% of their last 42 games.

Conpet Ploiesti let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FCM Targoviste went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Conpet Ploiesti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 36
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chindia Targoviste22156143:1051
2Poiana Campina22153457:1548
3Campionii Arges22137247:1846
4Zagon22116533:2139
5ACSM Campina22123725:1639
6Atletic Bradu22115637:3138
7Conpet Ploiesti2268825:2626
8Avantul Reghin22571023:3222
9Urban Titu22621419:3620
10FCM Targoviste22541319:4619
11Papauti22451322:5317
12Fagaras2202209:552