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FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between FCM Ungheni and Sparta Selemet finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FCM Ungheni
15%
Draws
0%
Sparta Selemet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Selemet haven't matched FCM Ungheni's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FCM Ungheni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 16%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Ungheni Sparta Selemet
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.72 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
5:2
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni
1:1
Apr 15, 2025 Moldovan Cup
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni
3:3
May 13, 2022 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Ungheni 84 / 100
Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Ungheni Sparta Selemet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FCM Ungheni scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sparta Selemet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Sparta Selemet has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCM Ungheni VS Sparta Selemet
3.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 4.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FCM Ungheni

(Home)
09 Oct
FCM Ungheni
1 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau 2
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 6

Sparta Selemet

(Away)
19 Sept
Sparta Selemet
1 : 2
Vulturii Cutezatori
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
29 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 6
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 9 7 1 1 29:14 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 9 4 2 3 24:18 14
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 9 3 1 5 16:21 10
5 Univer Comrat 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)