Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCM Ungheni vs Speranis

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Speranis in this Liga 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Speranis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FCM Ungheni
15%
Draws
46%
Speranis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speranis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCM Ungheni lately — more wins on the board than Speranis.
  • FCM Ungheni are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 17%
Speranis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Ungheni Speranis
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.64 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
1:1
Apr 19, 2024 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
2:2
Oct 3, 2023 Moldovan Cup
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
3:2
Apr 15, 2023 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
0:3
Nov 4, 2022 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Ungheni 84 / 100
Speranis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Ungheni Speranis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (39 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Speranis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

FCM Ungheni has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FCM Ungheni VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FCM Ungheni

(Home)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 8

Speranis

(Away)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2
Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1
Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1
Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2
Speranis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 5 1 1 24:5 16
2 Speranis 7 5 1 1 22:6 16
3 Vasieni 7 4 1 2 18:14 13
4 Sucleia 7 3 1 3 9:18 10
5 Speranta Drochia 7 3 1 3 10:14 10
6 Real Succes 7 2 1 4 9:18 7
7 Olimp Comrat 7 1 2 4 9:13 5
8 FCM Ungheni 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
Promotion - Super Liga 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)