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FCM Ungheni vs Speranis Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
FCM Ungheni Logo

FCM Ungheni

2 - 2
FT
Speranis Logo

Speranis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FCM Ungheni
15%
Draws
46%
Speranis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speranis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCM Ungheni lately — more wins on the board than Speranis.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on FCM Ungheni taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 16%
Speranis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCM Ungheni Speranis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.73 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
1:1
Apr 19, 2024 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
2:2
Oct 3, 2023 Moldovan Cup
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
3:2
Apr 15, 2023 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
0:3
Nov 4, 2022 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Speranis
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCM Ungheni 84 / 100
Speranis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCM Ungheni Speranis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FCM Ungheni scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Speranis has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

FCM Ungheni has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FCM Ungheni VS -
3.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FCM Ungheni

(Home)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 6

Speranis

(Away)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2
Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1
Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1
Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2
Speranis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 6 1 0 28:5 19
2 Olimp Comrat 7 5 0 2 17:8 15
3 Speranis 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 FCM Ungheni 7 3 2 2 12:15 11
5 Falesti 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
6 Iskra Ribnita 7 3 0 4 10:10 9
7 Real Succes 7 1 1 5 11:17 4
8 Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)