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FCMU Baia Mare vs FC UTA Arad

Romania Romania

Liga 2/Serie 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
82' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2/Serie 2 2012/2013 game between FCMU Baia Mare and FC UTA Arad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCMU Baia Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
FCMU Baia Mare
20%
Draws
69%
FC UTA Arad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC UTA Arad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC UTA Arad come out ahead of FCMU Baia Mare on wins alone.
  • FC UTA Arad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2/Serie 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • FCMU Baia Mare have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FCMU Baia Mare Clean Sheet 20%
FC UTA Arad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCMU Baia Mare FC UTA Arad
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.85 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2013 Liga 2/Serie 2
FC UTA Arad vs FCMU Baia Mare
0:0
Nov 17, 2012 Liga 2/Serie 2
FCMU Baia Mare vs FC UTA Arad
2:1
May 11, 2012 Liga 2/Serie 2
FC UTA Arad vs FCMU Baia Mare
0:1
Oct 30, 2011 Liga 2/Serie 2
FCMU Baia Mare vs FC UTA Arad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCMU Baia Mare 10 / 100
FC UTA Arad 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCMU Baia Mare FC UTA Arad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC UTA Arad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCMU Baia Mare scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: FC UTA Arad conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

FCMU Baia Mare went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC UTA Arad
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FCMU Baia Mare

(Home)
16 Jul
Somesul Oar
3 : 0
FCMU Baia Mare
13 Aug
Avantul Barsana
2 : 1
FCMU Baia Mare
05 Jun
Mioveni
1 : 0
FCMU Baia Mare
30 May
FCMU Baia Mare
1 : 1
Poli Timisoara
24 May
FC UTA Arad
0 : 0
FCMU Baia Mare
Page 1 of 6

FC UTA Arad

(Away)
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
11 Sept
Farul Constanta
4 : 2
FC UTA Arad
05 Sept
FC UTA Arad
5 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc
02 Sept
Minerul Lupeni
0 : 3
FC UTA Arad
30 Aug
FCSB
1 : 3
FC UTA Arad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corona Brasov 24 14 6 4 41:22 48
2 Poli Timisoara 24 12 9 3 39:19 45
3 Sportul Snagov 24 13 5 6 38:22 44
4 FC UTA Arad 24 11 7 6 29:17 40
5 Targu Mures 24 10 5 9 31:29 35
6 Ramnicu Valcea 24 10 4 10 27:28 34
7 FC Bihor 24 8 9 7 35:31 33
8 Mioveni 24 7 11 6 27:23 32
9 Campionii Arges 24 9 4 11 34:40 31
10 Luceafarul Oradea 24 6 8 10 25:32 26
11 Olt Slatina 24 4 10 10 27:29 22
12 FCMU Baia Mare 24 5 8 11 21:36 21
13 Unirea Alba-Iulia 24 3 2 19 12:58 11
14 Timisoara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 LSS Vointa Sibiu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 1 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 1 2013/2014 (Main)