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FCSB 2 vs Progresul Mogosoaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FCSB 2 host Progresul Mogosoaia in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: FCSB 2 at 2.14 goals for, 1.79 against; Progresul Mogosoaia at 1.38 for, 1.62 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 2.13, favoring FCSB 2. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FCSB 2
20%
Draws
50%
Progresul Mogosoaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • FCSB 2 have won more games recently than Progresul Mogosoaia.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FCSB 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB 2 Progresul Mogosoaia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 2 29 / 100
Progresul Mogosoaia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB 2 Progresul Mogosoaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCSB 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCSB 2 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Progresul Mogosoaia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

FCSB 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Progresul Mogosoaia has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCSB 2 VS Progresul Mogosoaia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB 2

(Home)
02 Oct
FCSB 2
1 : 2
Omega Sport
26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
FCSB 2
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
Oxigen Bucuresti
1 : 2
FCSB 2
11 Sept
FCSB 2
2 : 4
LPS HD Clinceni
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Progresul Mogosoaia

(Away)
03 Oct
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 1
Progresul Mogosoaia
26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
23 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
Progresul Mogosoaia
19 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
0 : 3
Din. Bucuresti 2
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Alexandria 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 Omega Sport 7 5 2 0 9:4 17
3 LPS HD Clinceni 7 4 2 1 18:11 14
4 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 7 3 4 0 12:7 13
5 Adunatii-Copaceni 7 4 0 3 6:6 12
6 Oxigen Bucuresti 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
7 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 8 2 3 3 19:13 9
8 Progresul Mogosoaia 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
9 Din. Bucuresti 2 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
10 Progresul Spartac 7 2 0 5 9:9 6
11 Voluntari 2 7 1 1 5 6:11 4
12 FCSB 2 7 1 0 6 7:22 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)