Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FCSB vs Otelul

Romania Romania

Superliga Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FCSB host Otelul in the Superliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FCSB have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.65 conceded recently, against Otelul's 1.17 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor FCSB slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.13, favoring FCSB. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FCSB
20%
Draws
40%
Otelul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCSB lately — more wins on the board than Otelul.
  • Model gives FCSB a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FCSB have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FCSB Clean Sheet 20%
Otelul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FCSB Otelul
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
4:0
Feb 8, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs FCSB
1:4
Sep 28, 2025 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 Superliga
Otelul vs FCSB
1:4
Jul 26, 2024 Superliga
FCSB vs Otelul
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FCSB 49 / 100
Otelul 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FCSB Otelul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCSB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

FCSB's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Otelul has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Otelul has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FCSB VS Otelul
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FCSB

(Home)
19 Sept
Univ. Craiova
5 : 0
FCSB
14 Sept
FCSB
2 : 2
Petrolul
05 Sept
Dinamo Bucuresti
2 : 1
FCSB
02 Sept
Campionii Arges
0 : 5
FCSB
30 Aug
FCSB
1 : 3
FC UTA Arad
Page 1 of 7

Otelul

(Away)
14 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
3 : 0
Otelul
06 Sept
Otelul
0 : 1
Rapid Bucuresti
28 Aug
Voluntari
2 : 2
Otelul
24 Aug
Otelul
1 : 0
Campionii Arges
19 Aug
Concordia
5 : 1
Otelul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Bucuresti 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
2 Univ. Craiova 10 6 2 2 24:9 20
3 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 6 2 1 19:7 20
4 Petrolul 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Farul Constanta 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 CFR Cluj 9 4 1 4 15:14 13
7 Sepsi 10 3 4 3 7:10 13
8 Universitatea Cluj 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
9 FC UTA Arad 10 3 3 4 14:15 12
10 FCSB 10 3 3 4 13:17 12
11 FC Botosani 10 2 5 3 14:12 11
12 Campionii Arges 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
13 Corvinul Hunedoara 9 2 4 3 8:7 10
14 Otelul 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
15 Voluntari 9 2 2 5 9:20 8
16 Miercurea Ciuc 9 0 1 8 6:21 1
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)