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FE Grama vs UE Tona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FE Grama host UE Tona in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: FE Grama at 1.37 goals for, 0.8 against; UE Tona at 1.14 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor FE Grama slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.75, favoring FE Grama. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FE Grama
20%
Draws
22%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FE Grama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FE Grama come out ahead of UE Tona on wins alone.
  • FE Grama are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FE Grama Clean Sheet 20%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FE Grama UE Tona
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs UE Tona
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs FE Grama
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs UE Tona
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs FE Grama
0:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs UE Tona
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FE Grama 85 / 100
UE Tona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FE Grama UE Tona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FE Grama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FE Grama found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

UE Tona let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FE Grama has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FE Grama VS UE Tona
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FE Grama

(Home)
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
13 Sept
FE Grama
1 : 1
FC Martinenc
05 Sept
FC Lescala
1 : 2
FE Grama
15 Aug
FC Martinenc
0 : 0
FE Grama
Page 1 of 6

UE Tona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)