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Felanitx vs Arenal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Felanitx Logo

Felanitx

0 - 1
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Arenal Logo

Arenal

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arenal in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arenal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Felanitx
15%
Draws
42%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Felanitx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Arenal haven't matched Felanitx's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arenal a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arenal here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Arenal
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.92 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Arenal
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Felanitx
2:1
Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Arenal
0:1
Oct 16, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Felanitx
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 16 / 100
Arenal 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Arenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenal conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Arenal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Felanitx scored in 51% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS Arenal
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 8

Arenal

(Away)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)