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Felanitx vs Atletico Isleno

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Felanitx and Atletico Isleno finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Felanitx
15%
Draws
57%
Atletico Isleno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Isleno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Isleno come out ahead of Felanitx on wins alone.
  • Atletico Isleno are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Atletico Isleno
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.84 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Felanitx
1:2
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Atletico Isleno
1:1
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Atletico Isleno
1:1
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Felanitx
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 12 / 100
Atletico Isleno 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Atletico Isleno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Isleno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Isleno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Atletico Isleno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Felanitx's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Isleno

(Away)
19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0
Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3
Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)