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Felanitx vs Esporles

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Felanitx in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Felanitx.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Felanitx
15%
Draws
21%
Esporles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Felanitx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Felanitx have won more games recently than Esporles.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 18%
Esporles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Felanitx Esporles
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 10 6
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.16 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Esporles
3:0
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Felanitx
0:3
Jan 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Esporles
2:0
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Felanitx
1:1
Apr 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Felanitx
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Felanitx 32 / 100
Esporles 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Felanitx Esporles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Esporles registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Felanitx found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (38 games).

Scoring Trends

Felanitx VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Felanitx

(Home)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
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Esporles

(Away)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
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