Sport Picks
Fencibles United AFC vs Eastern Suburbs Prediction & H2H Stats
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 2025 
Match Events
63'
63'
Echague H.
90'
90'
Dunn T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Eastern Suburbs advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fencibles United AFC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Eastern Suburbs come out ahead of Fencibles United AFC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Fencibles United AFC's way, sitting at 80%.
- Eastern Suburbs arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Eastern Suburbs, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fencibles United AFC Clean Sheet 18%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fencibles United AFC | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 2 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.02 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2025 Chatham Cup
Fencibles United AFC vs Eastern Suburbs
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fencibles United AFC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1.01
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer Echague H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dunn T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fencibles United AFC 76 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fencibles United AFC Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fencibles United AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fencibles United AFC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.
Defensive concern: Eastern Suburbs conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Fencibles United AFC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fencibles United AFC VS Eastern Suburbs
2.17 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Fencibles United AFC
(Home) 05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2 Fencibles United AFC
15 Aug
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 Nelson Suburbs FC
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 South Auckland Rangers
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 2
15 Aug
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 Nelson Suburbs FC
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 South Auckland Rangers
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
2 : 1 Western Springs
Page 1 of 2
Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
02 Nov
Coastal Spirit
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 2
Western Springs 1
Manukau United 1
Eastern Suburbs 3
Western Suburbs 4
Palmerston North United FC 1
Napier City 2
Wellington Olympic 3
Wanaka FC 0
Christchurch 3
Auckland United 7
Melville 1
Dunedin City Royals 0
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Birkenhead 7
Waiheke United 0
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Western Suburbs 2
Wellington Olympic 3
Christchurch 2
Auckland United 4
Nelson Suburbs FC 2
Birkenhead 1
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs 1
Wellington Olympic 2
Auckland United 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Final
Wellington Olympic 4
Auckland United 2
