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Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fenerbahce host Alanyaspor in the Super Lig. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Fenerbahce at 2.27 goals for, 0.93 against; Alanyaspor at 1.45 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Fenerbahce have won 3 to Alanyaspor's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.30 - 1.07) back Fenerbahce to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fenerbahce
30%
Draws
39%
Alanyaspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alanyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Fenerbahce have won more games recently than Alanyaspor.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Fenerbahce taking it.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 20%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Alanyaspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.27 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahce
2:3
Sep 17, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahce
0:2
Aug 30, 2024 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor
3:0
Feb 11, 2024 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 85 / 100
Alanyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Alanyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fenerbahce scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Alanyaspor has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Fenerbahce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Alanyaspor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
Page 1 of 6

Alanyaspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2
Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0
Besiktas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)