Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fenerbahce vs AS Roma

Europe Europe

Champions League Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Cristante B.
Assist: Malen D.
47'
Rensch D.
48' Event
Brown A.
Assist: Greenwood M.

AI Match Summary

The Champions League game between Fenerbahce and AS Roma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fenerbahce
35%
Draws
38%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • AS Roma haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 14%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce AS Roma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.23 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Champions League
Fenerbahce vs AS Roma
1:1
Aug 19, 2014 Club Friendly
AS Roma vs Fenerbahce
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristante B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 19 / 100
AS Roma 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

AS Roma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Fenerbahce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS AS Roma
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Sporting CP 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Lens 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
22 Lille 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23 Slavia Prague 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Inter 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Atl. Madrid 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Napoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Viking 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Galatasaray 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Sabah Baku 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)