Sport Picks
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
Super Lig Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul 
Match Events
26'
26'
Skriniar M.
38'
38'
Yilmaz R.
Assist: Trossard L.
45'
45'
Topcu E.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig game between Fenerbahce and Besiktas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besiktas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Besiktas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Besiktas haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on Fenerbahce taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 14%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
1:0
Dec 23, 2025 Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Fenerbahce
2:3
May 4, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenerbahce Compare
Top Goalscorer Skriniar M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Besiktas Compare
Top Goalscorer Yilmaz R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vlahovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenerbahce 57 / 100
Besiktas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenerbahce Besiktas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fenerbahce scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Besiktas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Fenerbahce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fenerbahce VS Besiktas
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenerbahce
(Home) 03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2 Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0 Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0 Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0 Eyupspor
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
22 Aug
Fenerbahce
4 : 2 Konyaspor
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 Lyon
Page 1 of 3
Besiktas
(Away) 20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2 Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2 Corum FK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2 Besiktas
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
27 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 0 Besiktas
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 Besiktas
06 Aug
Hradec Kralove
0 : 1 Besiktas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 12 | Corum FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 13 | Basaksehir | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
