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Fenerbahce vs Erzurumspor FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fenerbahce host Erzurumspor FK in the Super Lig. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Fenerbahce at 2.24 goals for, 1.06 against; Erzurumspor FK at 1.87 for, 0.94 against. Head-to-head, Fenerbahce have won 5 to Erzurumspor FK's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.77 xG vs 1.13) point toward Fenerbahce. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fenerbahce
20%
Draws
40%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
  • Fenerbahce are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fenerbahce have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 20%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.24 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce vs Erzurumspor FK
3:1
Feb 5, 2025 Turkish Cup
Fenerbahce vs Erzurumspor FK
5:0
May 3, 2021 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Erzurumspor FK
3:1
Jan 11, 2021 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Fenerbahce
0:3
May 20, 2019 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Fenerbahce
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 67 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fenerbahce scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Fenerbahce went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Erzurumspor FK let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Erzurumspor FK
2.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
08 Nov
Corum FK
0 : 5
Fenerbahce
04 Nov
Fenerbahce
3 : 2
Liverpool
31 Oct
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Goztepe
26 Oct
Galatasaray
2 : 1
Fenerbahce
20 Oct
Fenerbahce
2 : 2
Slavia Prague
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Erzurumspor FK

(Away)
08 Nov
Rizespor
2 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
31 Oct
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 3
Corum FK
24 Oct
Gaziantep
1 : 3
Erzurumspor FK
17 Oct
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Eyupspor
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 11 9 1 1 27:15 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 8 1 2 26:8 25
3 Amedspor 11 7 2 2 28:15 23
4 Besiktas 11 7 1 3 23:12 22
5 Kasimpasa 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
6 Fenerbahce 11 6 1 4 29:10 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 6 1 4 13:9 19
8 Basaksehir 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Corum FK 11 5 1 5 21:21 16
10 Goztepe 11 4 3 4 22:19 15
11 Rizespor 11 4 2 5 13:16 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 3 3 5 9:18 12
14 Genclerbirligi 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
15 Konyaspor 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
16 Gaziantep 11 2 2 7 9:19 8
17 Samsunspor 11 2 1 8 11:26 7
18 Eyupspor 11 1 0 10 3:30 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)