Sport Picks
Fenerbahce vs Gaziantep
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul 
Match Events
41'
41'
Nene D.
44'
44'
Nene D.
46'
46'
Sub
Mercan L. In: Muldur M.
Out: Mercan L.
AI Match Summary
Fenerbahce in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenerbahce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fenerbahce lately — more wins on the board than Gaziantep.
- Win probability leans Fenerbahce's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Fenerbahce here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 19%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Gaziantep
4:1
Mar 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce
0:4
Oct 27, 2025 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce
0:4
Apr 26, 2025 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce
1:3
Feb 27, 2025 Turkish Cup
Gaziantep vs Fenerbahce
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenerbahce Compare
Top Goalscorer Nene D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Kante N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gaziantep Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenerbahce 36 / 100
Gaziantep 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenerbahce Gaziantep
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fenerbahce scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Gaziantep let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Fenerbahce stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fenerbahce VS Gaziantep
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenerbahce
(Home) 05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2 Fenerbahce
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2 Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Fenerbahce
4 : 2 Konyaspor
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 Lyon
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05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
22 Aug
Fenerbahce
4 : 2 Konyaspor
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 Lyon
05 Aug
Fenerbahce
2 : 0 Sturm Graz
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
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Gaziantep
(Away) 07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4 Gaziantep
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2 Rizespor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1 Gaziantep
15 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 1 Alanyaspor
03 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 3 Gaziantep
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07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4 Gaziantep
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1 Gaziantep
03 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 3 Gaziantep
28 Jul
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
1 : 2 Gaziantep
23 Jul
FK Vozdovac
1 : 1 Gaziantep
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
