Sport Picks
Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul 
Match Events
27'
27'
Sub
Soyuncu C. In: Demir Y. E.
Out: Soyuncu C.
38'
38'
Diabate F.
40'
40'
Sub
Oosterwolde J. In: Kante N.
Out: Oosterwolde J.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Fenerbahce and Kasimpasa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Kasimpasa haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Fenerbahce taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 20%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa
3:1
Jan 9, 2025 Turkish Cup
Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenerbahce Compare
Top Goalscorer Asensio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Kasimpasa Compare
Top Goalscorer Allevinah J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenerbahce 49 / 100
Kasimpasa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenerbahce Kasimpasa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fenerbahce scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Kasimpasa conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Fenerbahce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fenerbahce VS Kasimpasa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenerbahce
(Home) 10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2 Fenerbahce
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2 Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Fenerbahce
4 : 2 Konyaspor
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10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
22 Aug
Fenerbahce
4 : 2 Konyaspor
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 Lyon
05 Aug
Fenerbahce
2 : 0 Sturm Graz
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Kasimpasa
(Away) 06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2 Amedspor
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
22 Aug
Corum FK
0 : 1 Kasimpasa
15 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Trabzonspor
08 Aug
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
22 Aug
Corum FK
0 : 1 Kasimpasa
09 May
Genclerbirligi
3 : 2 Kasimpasa
24 Apr
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Kasimpasa
12 Apr
Goztepe
3 : 3 Kasimpasa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
