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Fenerbahce vs Liverpool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Nyoni T.
25'
Brown A.
27'
Kuyt D.

AI Match Summary

The Champions League game between Fenerbahce and Liverpool finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fenerbahce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fenerbahce
15%
Draws
48%
Liverpool
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fenerbahce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Fenerbahce taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fenerbahce Liverpool
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 Champions League
Fenerbahce vs Liverpool
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Greenwood M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Liverpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyoni T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fenerbahce 40 / 100
Liverpool 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fenerbahce Liverpool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenerbahce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Liverpool conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fenerbahce stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fenerbahce VS Liverpool
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fenerbahce

(Home)
04 Nov
Fenerbahce
3 : 2
Liverpool
31 Oct
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Goztepe
26 Oct
Galatasaray
2 : 1
Fenerbahce
20 Oct
Fenerbahce
2 : 2
Slavia Prague
17 Oct
Fenerbahce
3 : 0
Alanyaspor
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Liverpool

(Away)
04 Nov
Fenerbahce
3 : 2
Liverpool
01 Nov
Liverpool
0 : 1
Arsenal
28 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 1
Chelsea
25 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 0
Brighton
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3
Villarreal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 4 4 0 0 20:5 12
2 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 13:7 12
3 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
4 Como 4 3 0 1 19:6 9
5 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
6 Aston Villa 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
7 Manchester City 4 3 0 1 12:7 9
8 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 14:10 9
9 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
10 Sporting CP 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
11 Betis 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
12 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
13 Bayern Munich 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
15 Inter 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
16 LASK Linz 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
17 Manchester United 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
18 Galatasaray 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
19 Fenerbahce 4 1 2 1 6:11 5
20 AS Roma 4 1 1 2 10:8 4
21 Shakhtar 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
22 Viking 4 1 1 2 9:10 4
23 Atl. Madrid 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
24 PSV 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
25 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
26 FC Porto 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
27 Napoli 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
28 Villarreal 4 1 0 3 8:14 3
29 AEK 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
31 Sabah FC 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
32 Feyenoord 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
33 Lens 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
35 Lille 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 1:17 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)