Sport Picks
Fenerbahce vs Lyon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul 
Match Events
37'
37'
Abner Vinicius
40'
40'
Openda L.
Assist: Tolisso C.
47'
47'
Greenwood M.
Assist: Akturkoglu K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Lyon have won more games recently than Fenerbahce.
- Win probability leans Fenerbahce's way, sitting at 50%.
- Lyon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 14%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Champions League
Lyon vs Fenerbahce
1:2
Aug 18, 2026 Champions League
Fenerbahce vs Lyon
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Lyon
0:0
Jul 16, 2016 Club Friendly
Fenerbahce vs Lyon
0:0
Nov 3, 2004 Champions League
Lyon vs Fenerbahce
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fenerbahce Compare
Top Goalscorer Greenwood M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Lyon Compare
Top Goalscorer Openda L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fenerbahce 48 / 100
Lyon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fenerbahce Lyon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fenerbahce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Lyon has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Fenerbahce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fenerbahce VS Lyon
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fenerbahce
(Home) 31 Oct
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Goztepe
26 Oct
Galatasaray
2 : 1 Fenerbahce
20 Oct
Fenerbahce
2 : 2 Slavia Prague
17 Oct
Fenerbahce
3 : 0 Alanyaspor
14 Oct
Aston Villa
6 : 0 Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Goztepe
20 Oct
Fenerbahce
2 : 2 Slavia Prague
17 Oct
Fenerbahce
3 : 0 Alanyaspor
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0 Eyupspor
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 AS Roma
Page 1 of 3
Lyon
(Away) 01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0 Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0 Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1 Nice
15 Oct
Lyon
3 : 2 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0 Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
09 Oct
Lens
2 : 1 Lyon
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2 Lyon
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0 Lyon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah FC 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah FC 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah FC 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah FC 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
